Ballarat Synthetic

Synthetic 3Rail: True Entire Circuit—12:50–16:35

Meeting overview

Ballarat Synthetic in VIC hosts a provincial meeting on Synthetic 3. The rail is True Entire Circuit. There are 7 races scheduled from 12:50 to 16:35.

The card

Distances run from 1,000m to 2,200m across the card. The class mix is 3 maidens and 4 benchmark races. The card leans toward sprint trips. The feature race of the day is Happy Birthday Alex Quilliam (Bm62).

What history says

Over 147 races from 2025-05-22 to 2026-06-16, settling position flags backmarkers (11+) as the clearest profile, underperforming market expectation (0.00 A/E, 0.0% strike rate).

Jockey Cian Macredmond has 5 runners and a 8.6% local strike rate from 70 runs (1.29 A/E) and Jockey Ryan Hurdle has 5 runners and a 13.5% local strike rate from 37 runs (1.01 A/E).

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Track profile

147 races · 1303 runners · since 2025-05-22

Today’s angles — 2+ runners here today & A/E > 1

JJack Hill4 todayA/E 1.73JAmy Herrmann3 todayA/E 1.58JCian Macredmond5 todayA/E 1.29TRobert Hickmott2 todayA/E 1.03JRyan Hurdle5 todayA/E 1.01JPaul Gatt2 todayA/E 1.01

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	507	67	45.6%	13.2%	0.89
Middle (5–9)	565	58	39.5%	10.3%	0.78
Wide (10+)	231	22	15%	9.5%	0.83

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	384	72	49%	18.8%	0.99
On-pace (4–6)	370	39	26.5%	10.5%	0.78
Midfield (7–10)	306	17	11.6%	5.6%	0.62
Backmarkers (11+)	51	0	0%	0%	0.00
Unknown	192	19	12.9%	9.9%	0.82

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	55	37	25.2%	67.3%	1.07
Pop ($2–5)	259	59	40.1%	22.8%	0.77
Mid ($5–10)	269	30	20.4%	11.2%	0.82
Roughie (>$10)	720	21	14.3%	2.9%	0.75

A/E = actual wins ÷ market-expected wins (Σ 1/SP). Above 1.0 (green) beats the market here; below 0.9 (red) lags. Strong bias day = a past meeting where one run-style won >65% of races (≥5 winners). “Today” = runners engaged here today.