Ballina

Heavy 10Rail: True—11:15–16:10

Meeting overview

Ballina in NSW hosts a country meeting on Heavy 10. The rail is True. There are 9 races scheduled from 11:15 to 16:10.

The card

Distances run from 1,000m to 1,900m across the card. The class mix is 3 maidens, 5 benchmark races, and 1 other race. The card leans toward middle-distance races. The feature race of the day is Tooheys New Grafton Cup Preview (Bm82).

What history says

Over 78 races from 2025-06-12 to 2026-04-14, settling position flags backmarkers (11+) as the clearest profile, underperforming market expectation (0.00 A/E, 0.0% strike rate).

Jockey Dylan Turner has 2 runners and a 28.0% local strike rate from 25 runs (1.48 A/E) and Jockey Grady Spokes has 2 runners and a 50.0% local strike rate from 10 runs (3.11 A/E).

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Track profile

78 races · 663 runners · since 2025-06-12

Today’s angles — 2+ runners here today & A/E > 1

JGrady Spokes2 todayA/E 3.11TDaniel Bowen2 todayA/E 2.05JDylan Turner2 todayA/E 1.48JDanny Peisley5 todayA/E 1.02

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	308	44	56.4%	14.3%	0.87
Middle (5–9)	302	30	38.5%	9.9%	0.76
Wide (10+)	53	4	5.1%	7.5%	0.85

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	213	49	62.8%	23%	1.14
On-pace (4–6)	208	15	19.2%	7.2%	0.54
Midfield (7–10)	161	7	9%	4.3%	0.50
Backmarkers (11+)	12	0	0%	0%	0.00
Unknown	69	7	9%	10.1%	0.78

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	23	15	19.2%	65.2%	1.03
Pop ($2–5)	157	43	55.1%	27.4%	0.92
Mid ($5–10)	139	11	14.1%	7.9%	0.57
Roughie (>$10)	344	9	11.5%	2.6%	0.63

A/E = actual wins ÷ market-expected wins (Σ 1/SP). Above 1.0 (green) beats the market here; below 0.9 (red) lags. Strong bias day = a past meeting where one run-style won >65% of races (≥5 winners). “Today” = runners engaged here today.