Te Aroha

Heavy 10Rail: Out 9m 850m-550m Remainder Out 6m—09:38–13:50

Meeting overview

Te Aroha in NZ hosts a provincial meeting on Heavy 10. The rail is Out 9m 850m-550m Remainder Out 6m. There are 8 races scheduled from 09:38 to 13:50.

The card

Distances run from 1,150m to 3,500m across the card. The class mix is 4 maidens, 2 benchmark races, 1 restricted race, and 1 other race. The card leans toward staying tests. The feature race of the day is W L Robinson Livestock Stpl.

What history says

Over 131 races from 2025-06-02 to 2026-06-04, settling position flags backmarkers (11+) as the clearest profile, underperforming market expectation (0.00 A/E, 0.0% strike rate).

Trainer D R Wiles has 2 runners and a 12.5% local strike rate from 40 runs (1.21 A/E) and Trainer S & E Clotworthy has 2 runners and a 10.8% local strike rate from 37 runs (1.12 A/E) off a small winning sample.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Track profile

131 races · 1343 runners · since 2025-06-02

Today’s angles — 2+ runners here today & A/E > 1

TMs D Logan2 todayA/E 1.95JJasmine Fawcett2 todayA/E 1.38JJoe Nishizuka2 todayA/E 1.37TD R Wiles2 todayA/E 1.21TS & E Clotworthy2 todayA/E 1.12TK A Pertab3 todayA/E 1.10TP & J Brosnan6 todayA/E 1.03TSamantha Logan2 todayA/E 1.02

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	495	48	36.6%	9.7%	0.77
Middle (5–9)	557	56	42.7%	10.1%	0.83
Wide (10+)	291	27	20.6%	9.3%	1.01

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	99	18	13.7%	18.2%	1.33
On-pace (4–6)	99	10	7.6%	10.1%	0.96
Midfield (7–10)	120	5	3.8%	4.2%	0.40
Backmarkers (11+)	56	0	0%	0%	0.00
Unknown	969	98	74.8%	10.1%	0.84

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	14	8	6.1%	57.1%	0.93
Pop ($2–5)	207	56	42.7%	27.1%	0.94
Mid ($5–10)	363	41	31.3%	11.3%	0.80
Roughie (>$10)	759	26	19.8%	3.4%	0.70

A/E = actual wins ÷ market-expected wins (Σ 1/SP). Above 1.0 (green) beats the market here; below 0.9 (red) lags. Strong bias day = a past meeting where one run-style won >65% of races (≥5 winners). “Today” = runners engaged here today.