Pakenham Synthetic

Synthetic 3Rail: True Entire Circuit—13:30–16:30

Meeting overview

Pakenham Synthetic in VIC hosts a provincial meeting on Synthetic 3. The rail is True Entire Circuit. There are 7 races scheduled from 13:30 to 16:30.

The card

Distances run from 1,000m to 1,600m across the card. The class mix is 3 maidens and 4 benchmark races. The card leans toward middle-distance races. The feature race of the day is Cookers Bulk Oil System (Bm62).

What history says

Over 91 races from 2025-06-02 to 2026-06-15, barrier draw flags inside (1–4) as the clearest profile, underperforming market expectation (0.61 A/E, 8.1% strike rate).

Trainer Reece Goodwin has 4 runners and a 20.9% local strike rate from 43 runs (1.34 A/E) and Trainer G Eurell has 2 runners and a 27.6% local strike rate from 29 runs (2.37 A/E).

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Track profile

91 races · 938 runners · since 2025-06-02

Today’s angles — 2+ runners here today & A/E > 1

TG Eurell2 todayA/E 2.37JCraig Newitt3 todayA/E 1.87JLachlan Neindorf7 todayA/E 1.46JPatrick Moloney4 todayA/E 1.39TReece Goodwin4 todayA/E 1.34TG M Begg2 todayA/E 1.30TSimon Zahra2 todayA/E 1.22JLuke Cartwright4 todayA/E 1.04JBilly Egan5 todayA/E 1.04

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	309	25	27.5%	8.1%	0.61
Middle (5–9)	378	45	49.5%	11.9%	1.03
Wide (10+)	251	21	23.1%	8.4%	0.83

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	177	24	26.4%	13.6%	0.87
On-pace (4–6)	175	16	17.6%	9.1%	0.70
Midfield (7–10)	205	17	18.7%	8.3%	0.94
Backmarkers (11+)	54	2	2.2%	3.7%	0.73
Unknown	327	32	35.2%	9.8%	0.83

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	17	7	7.7%	41.2%	0.69
Pop ($2–5)	178	39	42.9%	21.9%	0.77
Mid ($5–10)	200	29	31.9%	14.5%	1.07
Roughie (>$10)	543	16	17.6%	2.9%	0.72

A/E = actual wins ÷ market-expected wins (Σ 1/SP). Above 1.0 (green) beats the market here; below 0.9 (red) lags. Strong bias day = a past meeting where one run-style won >65% of races (≥5 winners). “Today” = runners engaged here today.