Townsville

Soft 5Rail: +2m 1000m-W/Post; True Remainder—12:47–16:27

Meeting overview

Townsville in QLD hosts a country meeting on Soft 5. The rail is +2m 1000m-W/Post; True Remainder. There are 7 races scheduled from 12:47 to 16:27.

The card

Distances run from 1,000m to 1,400m across the card. The class mix is 2 maidens, 2 benchmark races, 1 restricted race, and 2 other races. The card leans toward sprint trips. The feature race of the day is Ladbrokes Punter Assist Hcp.

What history says

Over 261 races from 2025-05-06 to 2026-06-16, settling position flags backmarkers (11+) as the clearest profile, underperforming market expectation (0.31 A/E, 2.1% strike rate).

Trainer Graham R Hughes has 5 runners and a 9.7% local strike rate from 155 runs (1.23 A/E) and Trainer Matthew McGuire has 4 runners and a 14.3% local strike rate from 98 runs (1.10 A/E).

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Track profile

261 races · 2664 runners · since 2025-05-06

Today’s angles — 2+ runners here today & A/E > 1

TTerry McGovern3 todayA/E 1.25TGraham R Hughes5 todayA/E 1.23JChelsea Jokic3 todayA/E 1.17TF J Wieland2 todayA/E 1.13TMatthew McGuire4 todayA/E 1.10JWanderson D'Avila3 todayA/E 1.06TGavin Kinlyside2 todayA/E 1.03

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	1013	106	40.5%	10.5%	0.75
Middle (5–9)	1155	122	46.6%	10.6%	0.93
Wide (10+)	496	34	13%	6.9%	0.73

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	641	105	40.1%	16.4%	1.02
On-pace (4–6)	635	63	24%	9.9%	0.77
Midfield (7–10)	656	42	16%	6.4%	0.70
Backmarkers (11+)	239	5	1.9%	2.1%	0.31
Unknown	493	47	17.9%	9.5%	0.81

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	67	37	14.1%	55.2%	0.93
Pop ($2–5)	491	129	49.2%	26.3%	0.92
Mid ($5–10)	595	61	23.3%	10.3%	0.77
Roughie (>$10)	1511	35	13.4%	2.3%	0.59

A/E = actual wins ÷ market-expected wins (Σ 1/SP). Above 1.0 (green) beats the market here; below 0.9 (red) lags. Strong bias day = a past meeting where one run-style won >65% of races (≥5 winners). “Today” = runners engaged here today.