Hobart

Soft 5Rail: +3m Entire—11:03–15:50

Meeting overview

Hobart in TAS hosts a provincial meeting on Soft 5. The rail is +3m Entire. There are 9 races scheduled from 11:03 to 15:50.

The card

Distances run from 1,100m to 1,600m across the card. The class mix is 3 maidens, 1 benchmark race, and 5 other races. The card leans toward sprint trips. The feature race of the day is Carbine Club Winter Classic.

What history says

Over 229 races from 2025-05-11 to 2026-06-07, market (sp) flags roughie (>$10) as the clearest profile, underperforming market expectation (0.60 A/E, 2.7% strike rate).

Jockey Erica Byrne Burke has 8 runners and a 23.1% local strike rate from 104 runs (1.07 A/E) and Trainer Sarah Cotton has 3 runners and a 14.1% local strike rate from 64 runs (1.24 A/E).

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Track profile

229 races · 2228 runners · since 2025-05-11

Today’s angles — 2+ runners here today & A/E > 1

JBree Temple7 todayA/E 1.46TSarah Cotton3 todayA/E 1.24TMs R Hall3 todayA/E 1.16TBradley Franklin3 todayA/E 1.14TBarry Campbell5 todayA/E 1.13JErica Byrne Burke8 todayA/E 1.07

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	877	99	43.2%	11.3%	0.82
Middle (5–9)	963	102	44.5%	10.6%	0.84
Wide (10+)	388	28	12.2%	7.2%	0.74

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	553	81	35.4%	14.6%	0.96
On-pace (4–6)	546	63	27.5%	11.5%	0.81
Midfield (7–10)	529	34	14.8%	6.4%	0.65
Backmarkers (11+)	169	6	2.6%	3.6%	0.61
Unknown	431	45	19.7%	10.4%	0.81

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	40	18	7.9%	45%	0.72
Pop ($2–5)	455	121	52.8%	26.6%	0.92
Mid ($5–10)	535	58	25.3%	10.8%	0.82
Roughie (>$10)	1198	32	14%	2.7%	0.60

A/E = actual wins ÷ market-expected wins (Σ 1/SP). Above 1.0 (green) beats the market here; below 0.9 (red) lags. Strong bias day = a past meeting where one run-style won >65% of races (≥5 winners). “Today” = runners engaged here today.